Sitra 1-1 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 May 2024

📅15/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.3pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.14/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.68
-5% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +63%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
1W-1D-1L
AWAY East Riffa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
09.03.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 0-2 HT 0-2 Sitra Sitra BAH
14.12.2022 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
1-1
AWAY East Riffa
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sitra vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra and East Riffa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Sitra had 40% of the ball to East Riffa's 60%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sitra and 0.67 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Sitra vs East Riffa?

Sitra 1-1 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sitra 30%, draw 33%, East Riffa 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (East Riffa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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