Real Esteli 1-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.97
Over
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.47
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.12
6+
8%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.47 — our 32% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL The Market 51%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.63
-100% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +67%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
19.09.2012 Real Esteli Real Esteli 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
02.08.2012 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Esteli
1-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
222 Passes 394
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli edged past Tigres UANL 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Real Esteli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Esteli had 39% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 61%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Esteli and 2.50 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Tigres UANL?

Real Esteli 1-0 Tigres UANL in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 30%, draw 30%, Tigres UANL 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tigres UANL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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