Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.38
Over 2.5
28%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
47%
1.87
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
12%
6.42
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.87 — our 47% vs market 44.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
72%
Under 2.5
69%
+3.0pp
28%
Over 2.5
31%
-3.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.6pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 28%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.86/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.51
+57% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
20.01.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
13.09.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
16.08.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
15.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
02.11.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan squeezed past Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Esteghlal Khuzestan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.33 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 38%, draw 32%, Shams Azar Qazvin 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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