Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.75
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.5pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 28%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.01/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.39
-14% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
16.08.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
15.02.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
02.11.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
09.08.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin and Esteghlal Khuzestan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 1.60 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shams Azar Qazvin win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 36%, draw 33%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shams Azar Qazvin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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