Sepahan 1-0 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.4pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.04/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.13
+48% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Malavan FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
21.04.2024 Malavan FC Malavan FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
02.11.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-3 HT 2-2 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
24.04.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
19.12.2022 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan squeezed past Malavan FC 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sepahan and 1.25 for Malavan FC.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Malavan FC?

Sepahan 1-0 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 53%, draw 22%, Malavan FC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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