Malavan FC 1-2 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Apr 2024

Malavan FC
1-2 HT 1-0
Sepahan
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Malavan FC vs Sepahan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.73
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malavan FC v Sepahan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.08/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.14
+18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Malavan FC vs Sepahan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malavan FC
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sepahan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-3 HT 2-2 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
24.04.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 0-0 Malavan FC Malavan FC IRAN
19.12.2022 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Malavan FC vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan nicked a narrow win over Malavan FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Malavan FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Malavan FC and 1.00 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Malavan FC vs Sepahan?

Malavan FC 1-2 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malavan FC vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Malavan FC 31%, draw 26%, Sepahan 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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