Zob Ahan 2-0 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 21 Apr 2024

Zob Ahan
2-0 HT 0-0
Aluminium Arak
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.66
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
1.33
Over 2.5
23%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.51
No
72%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
49%
1.78
2-3 Goals
34%
1.94
4-5 Goals
11%
8.37
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.9pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.0pp
77%
Under 2.5
72%
+4.7pp
23%
Over 2.5
28%
-4.7pp
28%
BTTS Yes
36%
-8.0pp
72%
BTTS No
64%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zob Ahan v Aluminium Arak — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 32%
-15% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
0.60/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.07
-49% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zob Ahan
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
24.04.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
19.12.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
11.03.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 4-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
30.11.2021 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
25.06.2021 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zob Ahan beat Aluminium Arak 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Zob Ahan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (77%), no to both teams scoring (72%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zob Ahan had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zob Ahan and 0.33 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Zob Ahan 2-0 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zob Ahan 36%, draw 28%, Aluminium Arak 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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