CSMS Iaşi 0-1 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.78
-12% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSMS Iaşi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UTA Arad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
324 Passes 369
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-1 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROMK
23.09.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
28.04.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-2 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
08.12.2023 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 1-0 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
04.08.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-0 HT 1-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
09.05.2021 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-2 HT 0-2 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSMS Iaşi
0-1
AWAY UTA Arad
1.46 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
204 Passes 215
61% Pass Accuracy 64%
17 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CSMS Iaşi vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad nicked a narrow win over CSMS Iaşi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day UTA Arad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, CSMS Iaşi had 51% of the ball to UTA Arad's 49%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.46 to 0.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured CSMS Iaşi.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSMS Iaşi and 0.83 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of CSMS Iaşi vs UTA Arad?

CSMS Iaşi 0-1 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSMS Iaşi vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSMS Iaşi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CSMS Iaşi 39%, draw 26%, UTA Arad 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSMS Iaşi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSMS Iaşi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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