Sepsi 1-0 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.55/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.49
-6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
423 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
15.5 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SSC Farul
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
03.05.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-4 HT 0-3 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
05.04.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
19.02.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
30.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
29.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
1-0
AWAY SSC Farul
1.91 xG 0.86
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
287 Passes 354
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi nicked a narrow win over SSC Farul 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sepsi had 45% of the ball to SSC Farul's 55%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.91 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sepsi and 1.33 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Sepsi 1-0 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 44%, draw 27%, SSC Farul 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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