Sepsi 1-1 SSC Farul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 31%
-18% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.01/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.29
-31% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
226 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
0W-1D-5L
AWAY SSC Farul
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
30.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
29.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
19.03.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
28.02.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-0 HT 2-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
09.10.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
1-1
AWAY SSC Farul
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs SSC Farul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi and SSC Farul shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sepsi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sepsi had 60% of the ball to SSC Farul's 40%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sepsi and 1.50 for SSC Farul.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Sepsi 1-1 SSC Farul in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs SSC Farul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 44%, draw 26%, SSC Farul 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepsi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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