UTA Arad 1-0 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 32% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.25/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
-10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botosani
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 Passes 287
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
23.09.2023 Botosani Botosani 2-2 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
14.04.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-2 HT 0-2 Botosani Botosani ROM
11.02.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 3-1 HT 3-1 Botosani Botosani ROM
09.09.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-2 HT 0-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
18.03.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
1-0
AWAY Botosani
0.92 xG 0.87
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad edged past Botosani 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day UTA Arad made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UTA Arad and 1.50 for Botosani.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Botosani?

UTA Arad 1-0 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 39%, draw 26%, Botosani 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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