SSC Farul 2-1 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 36%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -26%
1.11/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.39
+40% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.0 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sepsi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-4 HT 0-3 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
05.04.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 1-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
19.02.2024 Sepsi Sepsi 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
30.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
29.04.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
19.03.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-1 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
2-1
AWAY Sepsi
1.91 xG 0.96
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
196 Passes 354
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul edged past Sepsi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day SSC Farul made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, SSC Farul had 39% of the ball to Sepsi's 61%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.91 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SSC Farul and 1.33 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Sepsi?

SSC Farul 2-1 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 37%, draw 27%, Sepsi 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Farul), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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