Al Shabab Riyadh 5-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 25% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +35%
1.63/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.14
+2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.3 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Khaleej
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
442 Passes 267
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.08.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
02.03.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
02.09.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
11.04.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-3 HT 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
15.10.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
25.01.2018 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
5-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.90 xG 2.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
401 Passes 409
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh swept aside Al Khaleej 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Shabab Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 49% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 51%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.90 to 2.64 — on chances, Al Khaleej could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Khaleej?

Al Shabab Riyadh 5-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 51%, draw 25%, Al Khaleej 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh)
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