Al Khaleej 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.34
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 33% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-9.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 52%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
0.92/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.07
-39% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.8 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 426
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
02.09.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
11.04.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 2-3 HT 2-2 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
15.10.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
25.01.2018 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SAKK
10.02.2017 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
0-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.49 xG 0.12
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
356 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh edged past Al Khaleej 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Al Shabab Riyadh made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 53% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 47%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 0.49 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Khaleej and 2.00 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Khaleej 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 33%, draw 29%, Al Shabab Riyadh 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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