Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
37%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
57%
-18.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
19%
+17.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.87/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.52
+0% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.3 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.84 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
380 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
20.10.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
03.05.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
26.12.2022 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
21.02.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SAKK
17.02.2022 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ittihad-Jeddah
2-1
AWAY Al Taawon
1.91 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
460 Passes 446
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad-Jeddah squeezed past Al Taawon 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Al Ittihad-Jeddah made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had 51% of the ball to Al Taawon's 49%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.91 to 0.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Ittihad-Jeddah's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ittihad-Jeddah and 0.83 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Taawon?

Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-1 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ittihad-Jeddah vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Ittihad-Jeddah 38%, draw 25%, Al Taawon 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ BTTS Yes
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