Al Riyadh 3-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 29 Aug 2024

📅29/08/2024 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.37
2-3 Goals
48%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 45%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-83% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
9.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Kholood
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.01.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
30.08.2022 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
3-1
AWAY Al Kholood
0.96 xG 0.48
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
255 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh got the better of Al Kholood 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Kholood at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 46% of the ball to Al Kholood's 54%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.96 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Kholood led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Al Riyadh 3-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 29/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 30%, draw 27%, Al Kholood 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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