Leeds United 3-1 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.82
Over
50%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.19
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.56
6+
9%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
22%
4.98
X/2
8%
7.12
X/X
14%
4.59
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.18
2/X
6%
13.55
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Leeds United The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.41 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.22
1.15 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.32
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.4 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 1.45
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
402 Passes 180
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-1 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
04.04.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 2-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
05.02.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
08.02.2020 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
10.08.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
01.01.2019 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4-2 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
3-1
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.82 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
398 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leeds United took care of Nottingham Forest 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in Leeds United's favour, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 2.82 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nottingham Forest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Leeds United against 2.00 for Nottingham Forest.

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Result & Final Score

Leeds United 3-1 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Leeds United vs Nottingham Forest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 48%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →