Jwaya 0-1 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 6 Feb 2026

📅06/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
47%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
34%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
47%
Away Win
36%
+10.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jwaya EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 40%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.61
-100% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -56%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jwaya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahed
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.10.2025 Al Ahed Al Ahed 1-0 HT 0-0 Jwaya LUBN
POST-MATCH Jwaya vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed nicked a narrow win over Jwaya 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Jwaya vs Al Ahed?

Jwaya 0-1 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 06/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jwaya vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jwaya 25%, draw 28%, Al Ahed 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Under 2.5
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
6 Feb 2026
15:15 Al Hikma vs Safa Analysis →