Watford vs Swansea City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Watford v Swansea City — Team-Based Signals
Watford vs Swansea City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Watford
İNCL
4-0
HT 1-0
Watford
İNCL
1-2
HT 1-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-0
HT 0-0
Swansea City
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Watford
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-1
Swansea City
İNLK
Watford 1-1 Swansea City — Actual Match Statistics
Watford and Swansea City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Watford at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Watford had 37% of the ball to Swansea City's 63%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.95 to 1.69.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Watford and 1.50 for Swansea City.
What was the final score of Watford vs Swansea City?
Watford 1-1 Swansea City in the England - Championship on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Watford vs Swansea City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Watford win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Watford 43%, draw 26%, Swansea City 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Watford), Over 2.5 went the other way.