Manly United 1-1 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.29
Over 2.5
44%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+9.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
54%
-12.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
40%
+16.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
60%
-16.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.60/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.06
-9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.5 Crosses 26.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.13 xG 2.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
352 Passes 267
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2023 Manly United Manly United 0-2 HT 0-2 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
05.02.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 1-1 HT 1-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
27.08.2022 Manly United Manly United 0-2 HT 0-1 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNSW
09.07.2022 Manly United Manly United 1-6 HT 1-3 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
24.04.2022 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 3-1 HT 2-0 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
30.05.2021 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 2-2 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manly United and Blacktown City Demons shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Blacktown City Demons at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blacktown City Demons led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manly United and 2.67 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of Manly United vs Blacktown City Demons?

Manly United 1-1 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manly United 32%, draw 27%, Blacktown City Demons 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✓ Under 2.5
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