St George City FA 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 6 Mar 2024

St George City FA
1-0
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
📅06/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

St George City FA vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St George City FA v APIA Leichhardt Tigers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City FA EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.71
+21% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.4 Crosses 20.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

St George City FA vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St George City FA
0W-0D-2L
AWAY APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.96 xG 1.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
346 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-1 HT 2-1 St George City FA St George City FA AVNPL
13.05.2023 St George City FA St George City FA 1-2 HT 0-1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
POST-MATCH St George City FA vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City FA squeezed past APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day St George City FA made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, APIA Leichhardt Tigers led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St George City FA and 2.00 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

What was the final score of St George City FA vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

St George City FA 1-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the Australia - National Premier League on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City FA vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City FA win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St George City FA 39%, draw 24%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City FA) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St George City FA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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