Hills United U20 2-4 Sydney U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
2%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Hills United U20 win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.2pp
18%
Draw
12%
+6.2pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hills United U20 EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney U20 EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hills United U20 vs Sydney U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney U20 beat Hills United U20 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hills United U20 at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hills United U20 vs Sydney U20?

Hills United U20 2-4 Sydney U20 in the Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1 on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hills United U20 vs Sydney U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hills United U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hills United U20 66%, draw 18%, Sydney U20 16%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hills United U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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