St George City U20 2-1 APIA Leichhardt U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
25%
+18.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
47%
-16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George City U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY APIA Leichhardt U20 EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH St George City U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St George City U20 squeezed past APIA Leichhardt U20 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St George City U20 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of St George City U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20?

St George City U20 2-1 APIA Leichhardt U20 in the Australia - U20 NSW NPL 1 on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George City U20 vs APIA Leichhardt U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a St George City U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St George City U20 43%, draw 26%, APIA Leichhardt U20 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St George City U20), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St George City U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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