Telavi 4-0 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 60%
+10% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.04/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.82/1.13
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
25.08.2023 Telavi Telavi 2-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
14.05.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 6-1 HT 3-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
18.03.2023 Telavi Telavi 2-2 HT 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
10.11.2022 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
05.09.2022 Telavi Telavi 1-2 HT 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
4-0
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telavi swept aside Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Tbilisi at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Telavi had 45% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 55%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Telavi and 2.83 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Telavi 4-0 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Telavi 26%, draw 27%, Dinamo Tbilisi 47%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ BTTS No
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