Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.7pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 23%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.29/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.62
+21% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Saburtalo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 5-0 HT 3-0 Saburtalo GUR
08.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-3 HT 1-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
25.04.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-3 HT 0-2 Saburtalo GUR
26.02.2023 Saburtalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
16.10.2022 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
15.08.2022 Saburtalo 2-4 HT 2-2 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2-3
AWAY Saburtalo
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Torpedo Kutaisi 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Kutaisi at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 45% of the ball to Saburtalo's 55%, shots finished 12-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.17 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Torpedo Kutaisi 2-3 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 52%, draw 24%, Saburtalo 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✗ BTTS No
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