Jesenice 1-3 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - Cup, 6 Mar 2024

📅06/03/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jesenice EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jesenice
1-3
AWAY Gorica
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Jesenice vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica got the better of Jesenice 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Jesenice at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jesenice had 37% of the ball to Gorica's 63%, shots finished 7-20.

What was the final score of Jesenice vs Gorica?

Jesenice 1-3 Gorica in the Slovenia - Cup on 06/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jesenice vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jesenice win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jesenice 42%, draw 24%, Gorica 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jesenice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jesenice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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