Fasil Ketema 0-0 Bahardar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
40%
2.63
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.6
No
49%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.9pp
40%
Draw
35%
+5.0pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
34%
+16.3pp
49%
BTTS No
66%
-16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fasil Ketema EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahardar EU Bookmakers 40%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.05
-100% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fasil Ketema
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bahardar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Bahardar Bahardar 2-1 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema ETH
09.05.2024 Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fasil Ketema
0-0
AWAY Bahardar
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fasil Ketema and Bahardar played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 40% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Fasil Ketema had 48% of the ball to Bahardar's 52%, shots finished 3-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bahardar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fasil Ketema and 1.00 for Bahardar.

What was the final score of Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?

Fasil Ketema 0-0 Bahardar in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fasil Ketema 26%, draw 40%, Bahardar 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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