Barcelona SC 3-0 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 6 Mar 2025

Barcelona SC
3-0 HT 1-0
Corinthians
📅06/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Copa Libertadores – 2025

Barcelona SC vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.3 — our 38% vs market 35.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+1.0pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.9pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-7.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona SC v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.14
+7% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.9 Crosses 14.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Barcelona SC 3-0 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
3-0
AWAY Corinthians
1.80 xG 0.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 4
345 Passes 324
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC ran out comfortable winners over Corinthians 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) promised a tight game; Barcelona SC found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 52% of the ball to Corinthians's 48%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.80 to 0.34.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Corinthians?

Barcelona SC 3-0 Corinthians in the Copa Libertadores on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 34%, draw 35%, Corinthians 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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