Erzurumspor FK 2-4 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.31
No
58%
1.54
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.34
2-3
46%
1.81
4-5
15%
5.27
6+
3%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.32
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
20%
3.91
X/2
7%
9.41
X/X
19%
4.01
2/1
3%
30.0
2/2
9%
8.72
2/X
4%
17.85
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erzurumspor FK The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor The Market 22%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.81
0.73 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Pendikspor
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.03 xG 0.59
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
242 Passes 454
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
16.01.2023 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
15.08.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
27.04.2008 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2P
24.02.2008 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK S2P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
2 - 4
AWAY Pendikspor
1.65 xG 2.84
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
145 Passes 425
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Erzurumspor FK vs Pendikspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pendikspor put daylight between themselves and Erzurumspor FK 4-2 on the road. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

File this under upsets: a 55% lean on Erzurumspor FK went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Erzurumspor FK had 32% of the ball to Pendikspor's 68%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.65 to 2.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 0.40 for Pendikspor.

Erzurumspor FK vs Pendikspor Result & Final Score

Erzurumspor FK 2 - 4 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erzurumspor FK vs Pendikspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 55%, draw 28%, Pendikspor 17%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
6 Mar 2025
16:00 İstanbulspor vs Sakaryaspor Analysis →
16:00 MKE Ankaragücü vs Yeni Malatyaspor Analysis →
20:30 Ümraniyespor vs Kocaelispor Analysis →