Ümraniyespor 1-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.98
2-3
47%
1.8
4-5
20%
4.0
6+
4%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.13
1/2
3%
26.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
9%
7.72
X/2
18%
4.47
X/X
17%
4.43
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.64
2/X
5%
13.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ümraniyespor The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor The Market 52%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.22 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.59
1.37 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.68
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Great
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Kocaelispor
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.47 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
293 Passes 363
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.04.2024 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
01.12.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-3 HT 0-2 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
08.01.2022 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
16.08.2021 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-3 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
1 - 1
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.56 xG 1.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 11
352 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Ümraniyespor vs Kocaelispor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ümraniyespor and Kocaelispor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

A gentle 49% lean on Kocaelispor didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 50%.

Under the surface, Ümraniyespor had 53% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 47%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.56 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Ümraniyespor and 0.20 for Kocaelispor.

Ümraniyespor vs Kocaelispor Result & Final Score

Ümraniyespor 1 - 1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ümraniyespor vs Kocaelispor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 24%, draw 27%, Kocaelispor 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kocaelispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5
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