Caen 2-2 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 6 Mar 2026

Caen
2 - 2 HT 1 - 0
Chateauroux
📅06/03/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Caen vs Chateauroux Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.77
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.72
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.81
6+
4%
17.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.79
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
17%
4.57
X/2
10%
7.25
X/X
18%
4.3
2/1
3%
26.5
2/2
12%
5.68
2/X
5%
14.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Caen v Chateauroux — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Caen The Market 51%
Signal
AWAY Chateauroux The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
0.77 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 2

Caen vs Chateauroux Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.09.2025 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-1 Caen Caen FR3
20.03.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-2 HT 2-2 Caen Caen FR2
28.11.2020 Caen Caen 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
06.03.2020 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
04.10.2019 Caen Caen 1-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
21.03.2014 Caen Caen 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
REVIEW Caen vs Chateauroux
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Caen and Chateauroux finished all square at 2-2. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 47% lean on Caen didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Caen against 1.50 for Chateauroux.

Caen vs Chateauroux Result & Final Score

Caen 2 - 2 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Caen vs Chateauroux Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Caen 47%, draw 29%, Chateauroux 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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