Chateauroux vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chateauroux v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Chateauroux vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chateauroux 2-1 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Chateauroux found just enough to beat Caen 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
We leaned Caen at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 51%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Chateauroux had 48% of the ball to Caen's 52%, shots finished 6-13.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chateauroux and 1.33 for Caen.
Chateauroux vs Caen Result & Final Score
Chateauroux 2 - 1 Caen in the France - National League 1 on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chateauroux vs Caen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 28%, draw 30%, Caen 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 went the other way.