Dijon 3-0 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 26 Sep 2025

Dijon
3 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Concarneau
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.74
Away
16%
4.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.72
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.83
6+
5%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
2.05
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.35
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
6%
10.55
X/X
14%
4.9
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
9%
9.33
2/X
4%
18.45
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Dijon The Market 64%
Signal
AWAY Concarneau The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.62 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.85
Average Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Concarneau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2025 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-1 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
08.11.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
3 - 0
AWAY Concarneau
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Dijon vs Concarneau
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dijon made light work of Concarneau 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.68, about 60%.

By the numbers, possession split 61% to 39% in Dijon's favour, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Dijon against 1.00 for Concarneau.

Dijon vs Concarneau Result & Final Score

Dijon 3 - 0 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Dijon vs Concarneau Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Dijon 62%, draw 22%, Concarneau 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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