Dijon 0-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Apr 2025

Dijon
0-1 HT 0-1
Concarneau
📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Dijon vs Concarneau Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.85
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
10%
4.59
X/2
12%
7.31
X/X
10%
4.38
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
14%
5.8
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dijon v Concarneau — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.41/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.43
+0% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Dijon vs Concarneau Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Concarneau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
08.11.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 1-2 HT 0-0 Dijon Dijon FR3

Dijon 0-1 Concarneau — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon
0-1
AWAY Concarneau
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dijon vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau squeezed past Dijon 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dijon at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dijon had 61% of the ball to Concarneau's 39%, shots finished 12-4.

What was the final score of Dijon vs Concarneau?

Dijon 0-1 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dijon 42%, draw 26%, Concarneau 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dijon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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