Chateauroux 2-2 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.41
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.27
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
10%
5.79
X/2
9%
5.49
X/X
17%
3.86
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.94
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.9pp
35%
Draw
30%
+5.6pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.27/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.74
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Villefranche
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 2-2 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
03.05.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
15.12.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-2 HT 2-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
28.04.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-5 HT 0-3 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
09.12.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
29.04.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux and Villefranche couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 35% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chateauroux and 2.00 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Villefranche?

Chateauroux 2-2 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 26%, draw 35%, Villefranche 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Villefranche), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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