Villefranche 2-2 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.38
Over 2.5
38%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.94
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
7.01
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
18%
4.76
X/2
10%
5.81
X/X
12%
3.16
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.99
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.9pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.20/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.26
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
15.12.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-2 HT 2-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
28.04.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-5 HT 0-3 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
09.12.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
29.04.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
10.12.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
2-2
AWAY Chateauroux
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche and Chateauroux shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Villefranche at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villefranche had 57% of the ball to Chateauroux's 43%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Villefranche and 1.00 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Chateauroux?

Villefranche 2-2 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 45%, draw 26%, Chateauroux 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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