08/11/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Rouen vs Boulogne Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
29%
Draw
28%
28%
Away Win
27%
57%
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 2.5
43%
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
52%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rouen v Boulogne — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rouen
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Boulogne
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-6%
1.38/0.92
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.69/1.16
-3%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
+15%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
9
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
296 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
271 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.4
POST-MATCH
Rouen vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rouen saw off Boulogne 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Rouen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Rouen vs Boulogne?
Rouen 3-1 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rouen vs Boulogne?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rouen 43%, draw 29%, Boulogne 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rouen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Rouen)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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8 Nov 2024