Valenciennes 1-2 Bourg en Bresse 01 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.58
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.56
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.33
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.7
X/1
12%
4.76
X/2
11%
6.12
X/X
14%
3.94
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
13%
4.75
2/X
5%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 33%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
2.50/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.10
+94% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valenciennes
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 291
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2018 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
17.11.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-3 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
14.04.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
18.11.2016 Valenciennes Valenciennes 3-3 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
22.01.2016 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
21.08.2015 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-1 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
1-2
AWAY Bourg en Bresse 01
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Bourg en Bresse 01
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 squeezed past Valenciennes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Bourg en Bresse 01 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valenciennes had 61% of the ball to Bourg en Bresse 01's 39%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valenciennes had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valenciennes and 1.17 for Bourg en Bresse 01.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Valenciennes 1-2 Bourg en Bresse 01 in the France - National League 1 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Bourg en Bresse 01?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 37%, draw 30%, Bourg en Bresse 01 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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