Nimes 0-2 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.64
Over 2.5
53%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.48
6+ Goals
11%
23.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.48 — our 26% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.6
X/2
11%
6.45
X/X
12%
4.0
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
14%
5.05
2/X
6%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
57%
-10.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
43%
+10.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 32%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.67/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.39
+18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2023 Nimes Nimes 2-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
08.10.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 3-1 HT 2-0 Nimes Nimes FR2
19.04.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
20.11.2021 Nimes Nimes 2-1 HT 1-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
06.04.2018 Quevilly Quevilly 1-3 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR2
03.11.2017 Nimes Nimes 4-1 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
0-2
AWAY Quevilly
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly saw off Nimes 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Quevilly found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nimes had 60% of the ball to Quevilly's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nimes had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Nimes and 1.00 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Quevilly?

Nimes 0-2 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nimes 40%, draw 28%, Quevilly 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nimes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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