Concarneau 1-2 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 31% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.91
X/2
12%
5.91
X/X
13%
4.13
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.37/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.31
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Dijon found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Dijon?

Concarneau 1-2 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 40%, draw 28%, Dijon 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Concarneau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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