Chateauroux 1-0 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
20%
4.62
X/2
14%
6.78
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.22
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 31%
-22% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.01/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.23
-31% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Villefranche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-2 HT 2-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
28.04.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-5 HT 0-3 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
09.12.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 1-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
29.04.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 2-1 HT 0-0 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
10.12.2021 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
1-0
AWAY Villefranche
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux edged past Villefranche 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Chateauroux found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chateauroux had 47% of the ball to Villefranche's 53%, shots finished 13-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Villefranche led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chateauroux and 2.00 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Villefranche?

Chateauroux 1-0 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 40%, draw 28%, Villefranche 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chateauroux), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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