Avranches 0-3 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.85
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.78
X/2
11%
5.39
X/X
17%
4.78
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.49
2/X
4%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.7pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avranches EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.20/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.13
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avranches
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nancy
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 0-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
29.04.2023 Nancy Nancy 3-0 HT 2-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
09.12.2022 Avranches Avranches 1-0 HT 1-0 Nancy Nancy FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avranches
0-3
AWAY Nancy
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avranches vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy ran out comfortable winners over Avranches 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Nancy made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avranches had 43% of the ball to Nancy's 57%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nancy led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Avranches and 1.33 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Avranches vs Nancy?

Avranches 0-3 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avranches vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avranches win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avranches 37%, draw 27%, Nancy 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Avranches), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avranches) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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