Le Mans FC 3-3 Cholet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 3 May 2024

Le Mans FC
3-3 HT 2-2
Cholet
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Le Mans FC vs Cholet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
8%
8.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.61 — our 26% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
18%
4.05
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
15%
6.03
2/1
6%
20.85
2/2
8%
7.51
2/X
8%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.8pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Mans FC v Cholet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Cholet EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
2.55/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.90
+42% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
474 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Le Mans FC vs Cholet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cholet
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Cholet Cholet 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
31.03.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
04.11.2022 Cholet Cholet 2-1 HT 2-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
29.04.2022 Cholet Cholet 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
25.01.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Cholet Cholet FR3
10.05.2021 Cholet Cholet 2-2 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Cholet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC and Cholet couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Le Mans FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.83 for Cholet.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Cholet?

Le Mans FC 3-3 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Cholet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 50%, draw 29%, Cholet 21%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Le Mans FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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