Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 4 Apr 2025

📅04/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.55
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.47
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
12%
5.63
X/2
14%
5.29
X/X
17%
3.54
2/1
10%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.07
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.96/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.34
-22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Valenciennes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
291 Passes 324
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Valenciennes Valenciennes 1-2 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
13.04.2018 Valenciennes Valenciennes 2-2 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
17.11.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 1-3 HT 1-1 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
14.04.2017 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-2 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
18.11.2016 Valenciennes Valenciennes 3-3 HT 1-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
22.01.2016 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 0-0 HT 0-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
1-0
AWAY Valenciennes
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 edged past Valenciennes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Bourg en Bresse 01 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Bourg en Bresse 01 had 40% of the ball to Valenciennes's 60%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valenciennes led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.83 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Valenciennes?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-0 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 04/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourg en Bresse 01 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 37%, draw 29%, Valenciennes 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bourg en Bresse 01) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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