Real Esteli 2-1 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Mar 2026

📅06/03/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
72%
-3.4pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.6pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.30/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.50
-1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Esteli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jalapa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
02.02.2026 Jalapa Jalapa 2-2 HT 1-1 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
20.10.2025 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
07.11.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-1 HT 3-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
28.01.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
01.10.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
05.08.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli squeezed past Jalapa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Real Esteli and 1.33 for Jalapa.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Jalapa?

Real Esteli 2-1 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 69%, draw 17%, Jalapa 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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