Jalapa 2-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
47%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+10.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
47%
Away Win
63%
-16.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 67%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
0.77/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.82
-25% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
05.08.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-0 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
10.03.2023 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-1 HT 2-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
22.01.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
05.09.2022 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
10.07.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-1 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa got the better of Real Esteli 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Real Esteli at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jalapa and 2.00 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Real Esteli?

Jalapa 2-0 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 25%, draw 29%, Real Esteli 47%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Esteli) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
28 Jan 2024
02:00 Orgánica Masachapa vs Export Sebaco Analysis →
05:00 Managua vs Walter Ferretti Analysis →