Orgánica Masachapa 1-1 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orgánica Masachapa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.03/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.21
+50% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Export Sebaco
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Orgánica Masachapa 1-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
07.08.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-0 HT 0-0 Orgánica Masachapa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orgánica Masachapa
1-1
AWAY Export Sebaco
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orgánica Masachapa vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orgánica Masachapa and Export Sebaco shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orgánica Masachapa had 39% of the ball to Export Sebaco's 61%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orgánica Masachapa and 1.50 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Orgánica Masachapa vs Export Sebaco?

Orgánica Masachapa 1-1 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orgánica Masachapa vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Orgánica Masachapa 29%, draw 31%, Export Sebaco 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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