Tianjin Teda 2-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Apr 2024

Tianjin Teda
2-3 HT 0-1
Chengdu Qianbao
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.92
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
10%
5.43
X/2
14%
5.4
X/X
16%
4.02
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.89
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tianjin Teda v Chengdu Qianbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
– Crosses 21.9
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tianjin Teda
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.40 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
283 Passes 268
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
08.06.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
08.07.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
16.06.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN

Tianjin Teda 2-3 Chengdu Qianbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tianjin Teda
2-3
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.49 xG 1.93
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
388 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao edged past Tianjin Teda 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chengdu Qianbao found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tianjin Teda had 53% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 47%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.49 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tianjin Teda and 1.25 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Tianjin Teda 2-3 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tianjin Teda vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tianjin Teda 35%, draw 29%, Chengdu Qianbao 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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