Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 Qingdao Jonoon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
9.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.9
X/1
11%
3.97
X/2
10%
10.25
X/X
15%
5.68
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
7%
7.61
2/X
4%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.3pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhejiang G. FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 22%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.55/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
-49% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
7.0 Crosses 14.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.31 xG 0.22
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
506 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon ÇİN
19.05.2023 Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon 2-2 HT 2-0 Zhejiang G. FC Zhejiang G. FC ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zhejiang G. FC
1-2
AWAY Qingdao Jonoon
3.62 xG 2.25
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 5
426 Passes 187
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
47 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zhejiang G. FC vs Qingdao Jonoon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon nicked a narrow win over Zhejiang G. FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Zhejiang G. FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zhejiang G. FC had 65% of the ball to Qingdao Jonoon's 35%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 3.62 to 2.25 — on chances, Zhejiang G. FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zhejiang G. FC and 1.00 for Qingdao Jonoon.

What was the final score of Zhejiang G. FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Zhejiang G. FC 1-2 Qingdao Jonoon in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhejiang G. FC vs Qingdao Jonoon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhejiang G. FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Zhejiang G. FC 55%, draw 23%, Qingdao Jonoon 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zhejiang G. FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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