Karvina 0-0 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 25% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karvina EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 62%
-22% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.95/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.29
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -12%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.4
21.0 Crosses 40.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karvina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
18.12.2021 Karvina Karvina 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
22.08.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 2-0 HT 1-0 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
10.04.2021 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
05.12.2020 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 0-1 HT 0-1 Karvina Karvina ÇEK
24.11.2019 Karvina Karvina 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karvina
0-0
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.42 xG 1.15
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
185 Passes 355
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
10 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karvina vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karvina and Viktoria Plzen played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Viktoria Plzen at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Karvina had 38% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 62%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.42 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Karvina and 0.83 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Karvina vs Viktoria Plzen?

Karvina 0-0 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karvina vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Karvina 21%, draw 24%, Viktoria Plzen 55%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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